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Red148
347839.0
453631.2
152932.6
Blue83
373524.3
221226.0
356223.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1036805015014883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#38
39.02.2
36.038.1
Auto8.3
Teleop21.8
End8.8
red by 13.0
2212
#64
26.00.8
25.226.0
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End4.3
Second
1529
#44
32.62.2
30.432.6
Auto7.4
Teleop19.3
End5.8
red by 8.3
3735
#74
24.30.8
23.524.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End6.8
Third
4536
#22
31.22.2
29.031.2
Auto10.2
Teleop13.5
End7.5
red by 7.7
3562
#71
23.40.8
22.723.4
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
32%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed