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Qual 1252016 Carver Division
Red139
13359.3
105845.4
592031.3
Blue104
608637.0
14135.5
91041.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14711950100200139104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#1
59.30.6
60.6→60.0
Auto18.0
Teleop30.8
End10.5
red by 17.7
910
#45
41.61.4
44.6→43.2
Auto18.1
Teleop18.4
End5.1
Second
1058
#51
45.40.6
46.0→45.4
Auto8.8
Teleop26.0
End10.6
red by 8.4
6086
#40
37.01.4
38.3→37.0
Auto8.6
Teleop23.6
End4.8
Third
5920
#63
31.30.6
32.0→31.3
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End5.4
blue by 4.2
141
#54
35.51.4
36.9→35.5
Auto9.1
Teleop22.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
84%Capture oddsMissed34%Capture oddsMissed