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Quarterfinal 1-12016 Carver Division
Red190
23062.8
13359.3
91041.6
Blue143
35952.1
50342.0
460724.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22714150100200250300190143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#3
62.80.3
64.464.1
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End3.6
red by 10.7
359
#42
52.10.1
52.152.2
Auto14.1
Teleop30.3
End7.8
Second
133
#1
59.30.3
60.059.7
Auto18.0
Teleop30.8
End10.5
red by 17.4
503
#11
42.00.1
41.942.0
Auto10.2
Teleop21.3
End10.5
Third
910
#45
41.60.3
43.242.9
Auto18.1
Teleop18.4
End5.1
red by 16.9
4607
#56
24.70.1
24.424.5
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End6.0