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Semifinal 1-12016 Carver Division
Red191
23062.8
177539.2
91041.6
Blue87
546053.9
8542.1
335744.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18619610015025019187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#3
62.80.2
63.0→62.8
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End3.6
red by 8.9
5460
#6
53.91.4
55.7→54.3
Auto9.4
Teleop36.1
End8.4
Second
910
#45
41.60.2
41.8→41.7
Auto18.1
Teleop18.4
End5.1
blue by 3.1
3357
#9
44.71.4
46.5→45.1
Auto13.9
Teleop25.8
End5.0
Third
1775
#58
39.20.2
39.4→39.2
Auto11.5
Teleop19.1
End8.6
blue by 3.0
85
#21
42.11.4
43.9→42.5
Auto8.7
Teleop30.3
End3.1