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Quarterfinal 1-22016 Carver Division
Red135
23062.8
91041.6
177539.2
Blue140
50342.0
35952.1
22836.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194174100150250300135140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#3
62.80.7
64.1→63.4
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End3.6
red by 10.7
359
#42
52.10.2
52.2→51.9
Auto14.1
Teleop30.3
End7.8
Second
910
#45
41.60.7
42.9→42.2
Auto18.1
Teleop18.4
End5.1
blue by 0.3
503
#11
42.00.2
42.0→41.8
Auto10.2
Teleop21.3
End10.5
Third
1775
#58
39.20.7
40.1→39.4
Auto11.5
Teleop19.1
End8.6
red by 2.4
228
#34
36.70.2
37.0→36.7
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End6.0