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Red205
23062.8
13359.3
91041.6
Blue155
546053.9
8542.1
335744.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2151850100300400205155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#3
62.80.1
62.862.8
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End3.6
red by 8.9
53.90.4
54.353.9
Auto9.4
Teleop36.1
End8.4
Second
133
#1
59.30.1
59.459.3
Auto18.0
Teleop30.8
End10.5
red by 14.6
44.70.4
45.144.7
Auto13.9
Teleop25.8
End5.0
Third
910
#45
41.60.1
41.741.6
Auto18.1
Teleop18.4
End5.1
blue by 0.5
85
#21
42.10.4
42.542.1
Auto8.7
Teleop30.3
End3.1