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Qual 182016 Carver Division
Red121
14135.5
221226.0
35952.1
Blue125
460724.7
263430.6
546053.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1199350150121125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#42
52.10.3
52.6→52.9
Auto14.1
Teleop30.3
End7.8
blue by 1.8
5460
#6
53.92.1
48.7→50.7
Auto9.4
Teleop36.1
End8.4
Second
141
#54
35.50.3
34.7→35.0
Auto9.1
Teleop22.0
End4.3
red by 4.8
2634
#30
30.62.3
24.2→26.5
Auto10.3
Teleop15.5
End4.9
Third
2212
#64
26.00.4
24.6→24.9
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End4.3
red by 1.3
4607
#56
24.72.1
21.2→23.3
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsMissed