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Red116
12044.8
581625.6
172329.7
Blue131
264839.2
164830.4
91041.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83117050100150200116131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#62
44.81.7
39.040.6
Auto10.3
Teleop27.2
End7.3
red by 3.2
910
#45
41.61.1
38.239.3
Auto18.1
Teleop18.4
End5.1
Second
1723
#25
29.71.7
24.526.2
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End6.8
blue by 9.5
2648
#31
39.21.1
39.540.6
Auto10.0
Teleop25.4
End3.8
Third
5816
#66
25.61.7
22.324.0
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End4.9
blue by 4.8
1648
#61
30.41.1
31.432.6
Auto8.3
Teleop19.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed18%Capture oddsEarned