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Red109
126236.9
57338.7
7839.7
Blue105
237031.3
341939.6
349031.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113103050150109105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#18
39.70.1
38.638.6
Auto15.1
Teleop19.1
End5.5
red by 0.1
3419
#46
39.60.2
41.041.2
Auto12.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
Second
573
#15
38.70.1
35.835.9
Auto9.7
Teleop24.7
End4.4
red by 6.9
3490
#53
31.80.2
29.329.5
Auto9.6
Teleop16.8
End5.5
Third
1262
#12
36.90.1
33.533.6
Auto10.0
Teleop20.8
End6.1
red by 5.6
2370
#41
31.30.2
31.932.1
Auto8.2
Teleop19.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
28%Capture oddsEarned7%Capture oddsMissed