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Red108
148137.4
587023.0
33061.0
Blue122
546053.9
589121.8
13359.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10813750150200108122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#2
61.00.1
55.855.8
Auto15.2
Teleop35.4
End10.5
red by 1.7
133
#1
59.30.8
57.256.4
Auto18.0
Teleop30.8
End10.5
Second
1481
#48
37.40.1
33.733.6
Auto8.4
Teleop21.8
End7.2
blue by 16.6
53.90.8
50.749.9
Auto9.4
Teleop36.1
End8.4
Third
5870
#70
23.00.1
19.719.6
Auto8.3
Teleop11.0
End3.6
red by 1.1
5891
#36
21.81.0
20.819.9
Auto8.0
Teleop11.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed37%Capture oddsMissed