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Qual 382016 Carver Division
Red137
14135.5
23062.8
341939.6
Blue155
335744.7
551834.9
36049.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14111150100150200137155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#3
62.80.3
56.4→56.7
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End3.6
red by 13.4
360
#19
49.52.9
40.5→43.4
Auto14.6
Teleop29.1
End5.8
Second
3419
#46
39.60.3
41.2→41.5
Auto12.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
blue by 5.1
3357
#9
44.72.9
42.9→45.7
Auto13.9
Teleop25.8
End5.0
Third
141
#54
35.50.3
35.0→35.3
Auto9.1
Teleop22.0
End4.3
red by 0.6
5518
#32
34.92.9
28.7→31.6
Auto10.1
Teleop20.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
17%Capture oddsEarned38%Capture oddsEarned