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Red114
583021.7
430117.9
84249.7
Blue122
284635.8
264839.2
13359.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions551490100200114122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#5
49.72.4
43.846.3
Auto14.7
Teleop26.4
End8.6
blue by 9.6
133
#1
59.31.6
56.454.8
Auto18.0
Teleop30.8
End10.5
Second
5830
#68
21.72.4
14.617.1
Auto7.4
Teleop11.2
End3.1
blue by 17.5
2648
#31
39.21.6
39.838.1
Auto10.0
Teleop25.4
End3.8
Third
4301
#75
17.92.4
9.111.5
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End2.1
blue by 17.9
2846
#39
35.81.6
35.333.7
Auto10.4
Teleop20.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed37%Capture oddsMissed