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Red164
166525.4
111454.4
546053.9
Blue90
237031.3
304917.2
172329.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1426405010020016490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#27
54.42.5
52.454.9
Auto17.6
Teleop27.5
End9.3
red by 23.1
2370
#41
31.31.1
32.133.2
Auto8.2
Teleop19.4
End3.6
Second
53.92.5
49.952.5
Auto9.4
Teleop36.1
End8.4
red by 24.2
1723
#25
29.71.1
25.626.6
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End6.8
Third
1665
#72
25.42.5
24.026.5
Auto4.5
Teleop16.9
End4.0
red by 8.2
3049
#73
17.21.1
16.117.2
Auto2.8
Teleop12.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
49%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed