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Red132
91041.6
460724.7
7839.7
Blue110
598039.2
148137.4
347839.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102101708090110120130132110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#45
41.61.9
37.839.7
Auto18.1
Teleop18.4
End5.1
red by 2.5
5980
#52
39.20.8
37.738.4
Auto8.3
Teleop21.4
End9.5
Second
78
#18
39.71.9
38.640.5
Auto15.1
Teleop19.1
End5.5
red by 0.7
3478
#38
39.00.8
27.127.9
Auto8.3
Teleop21.8
End8.8
Third
4607
#56
24.71.9
21.823.7
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End6.0
blue by 12.7
1481
#48
37.40.8
33.634.4
Auto8.4
Teleop21.8
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsEarned