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Red70
14135.5
5732.2
108641.1
Blue112
425331.3
345241.4
547226.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109882040608010012014016018070112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#49
41.12.2
41.038.8
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End4.5
blue by 0.3
3452
#43
41.41.5
40.642.1
Auto7.8
Teleop27.3
End6.3
Second
141
#54
35.52.2
36.934.7
Auto9.1
Teleop22.0
End4.3
red by 4.2
4253
#35
31.31.5
26.828.3
Auto10.0
Teleop15.0
End6.2
Third
57
#10
32.23.2
25.021.8
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.1
red by 5.8
5472
#28
26.31.5
21.623.1
Auto10.2
Teleop12.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed11%Capture oddsEarned