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Red85
533324.2
12044.8
589121.8
Blue77
440520.5
304917.2
126236.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9068204060801001201408577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#62
44.80.3
39.239.0
Auto10.3
Teleop27.2
End7.3
red by 7.9
1262
#12
36.90.2
32.232.4
Auto10.0
Teleop20.8
End6.1
Second
5333
#67
24.20.3
23.022.7
Auto4.9
Teleop15.6
End3.6
red by 3.6
4405
#60
20.50.2
21.922.1
Auto7.5
Teleop9.8
End3.2
Third
5891
#36
21.80.4
21.921.5
Auto8.0
Teleop11.6
End2.3
red by 4.7
3049
#73
17.20.2
15.215.4
Auto2.8
Teleop12.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsMissed71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed