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Red150
23062.8
276753.0
345241.4
Blue106
174642.9
2041.1
38430.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15910950200250150106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#3
62.80.2
56.756.8
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End3.6
red by 19.9
1746
#24
42.90.8
45.044.2
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End9.7
Second
2767
#13
53.00.2
50.150.3
Auto14.2
Teleop30.9
End7.8
red by 11.8
20
#16
41.10.8
38.637.8
Auto11.2
Teleop24.1
End5.8
Third
3452
#43
41.40.2
40.440.6
Auto7.8
Teleop27.3
End6.3
red by 10.8
384
#50
30.60.8
29.228.4
Auto7.2
Teleop18.9
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
89%Capture oddsEarned22%Capture oddsMissed