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Qual 502016 Carver Division
Red104
353637.0
105845.4
373524.3
Blue113
445144.8
248159.6
440520.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107128406080120140160180200104113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#51
45.40.2
46.3→46.1
Auto8.8
Teleop26.0
End10.6
blue by 14.2
2481
#8
59.60.5
55.1→54.6
Auto20.0
Teleop33.0
End6.6
Second
3536
#20
37.00.2
39.0→38.8
Auto11.9
Teleop20.8
End4.3
blue by 7.7
4451
#17
44.80.5
42.9→42.3
Auto11.5
Teleop26.5
End6.7
Third
3735
#74
24.30.2
21.7→21.5
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End6.8
red by 3.7
4405
#60
20.50.5
23.2→22.6
Auto7.5
Teleop9.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
42%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsEarned