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Red123
589121.8
284635.8
335744.7
Blue151
347839.0
5732.2
36049.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10597050150200250300123151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.71.1
45.846.9
Auto13.9
Teleop25.8
End5.0
blue by 4.7
360
#19
49.53.4
43.446.8
Auto14.6
Teleop29.1
End5.8
Second
2846
#39
35.81.1
33.734.8
Auto10.4
Teleop20.1
End5.3
blue by 3.2
3478
#38
39.03.4
27.931.2
Auto8.3
Teleop21.8
End8.8
Third
5891
#36
21.81.1
21.422.5
Auto8.0
Teleop11.6
End2.3
blue by 10.3
57
#10
32.23.4
23.927.3
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned8%Capture oddsEarned