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Qual 642016 Carver Division
Red139
608637.0
263430.6
2754.2
Blue130
130546.5
164830.4
284635.8
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221176080100140160180200139130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#4
54.21.4
52.8→54.3
Auto12.0
Teleop35.5
End6.8
red by 7.7
1305
#7
46.50.4
45.6→46.0
Auto7.5
Teleop34.4
End4.7
Second
6086
#40
37.01.4
37.5→38.9
Auto8.6
Teleop23.6
End4.8
red by 1.2
2846
#39
35.80.4
34.8→35.2
Auto10.4
Teleop20.1
End5.3
Third
2634
#30
30.61.4
27.6→29.0
Auto10.3
Teleop15.5
End4.9
red by 0.2
1648
#61
30.40.4
33.9→34.3
Auto8.3
Teleop19.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
31%Capture oddsEarned17%Capture oddsMissed