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Red80
304917.2
341939.6
50342.0
Blue113
583021.7
2041.1
172928.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103885015080113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#11
42.01.2
39.838.6
Auto10.2
Teleop21.3
End10.5
red by 0.8
20
#16
41.11.0
39.941.0
Auto11.2
Teleop24.1
End5.8
Second
3419
#46
39.61.2
42.140.9
Auto12.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
red by 10.8
1729
#69
28.81.0
29.130.1
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End5.4
Third
3049
#73
17.21.2
16.415.2
Auto2.8
Teleop12.9
End1.5
blue by 4.5
5830
#68
21.71.0
18.619.6
Auto7.4
Teleop11.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsMissed