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Red107
264839.2
183635.7
598039.2
Blue121
356223.4
23062.8
5732.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119104050150200250107121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#31
39.20.5
38.137.7
Auto10.0
Teleop25.4
End3.8
blue by 23.6
230
#3
62.80.5
56.857.3
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End3.6
Second
5980
#52
39.20.5
38.438.0
Auto8.3
Teleop21.4
End9.5
red by 7.0
57
#10
32.20.5
27.327.8
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.1
Third
1836
#26
35.70.5
37.236.8
Auto8.9
Teleop19.8
End7.1
red by 12.3
3562
#71
23.40.5
19.620.1
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
40%Capture oddsMissed19%Capture oddsMissed