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Red130
108641.1
425331.3
445144.8
Blue143
276753.0
26330.7
148137.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11012250100150200130143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#17
44.81.4
42.744.1
Auto11.5
Teleop26.5
End6.7
blue by 8.2
2767
#13
53.01.1
50.151.1
Auto14.2
Teleop30.9
End7.8
Second
1086
#49
41.11.4
39.140.5
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End4.5
red by 3.7
1481
#48
37.41.1
36.037.1
Auto8.4
Teleop21.8
End7.2
Third
4253
#35
31.31.4
27.328.7
Auto10.0
Teleop15.0
End6.2
red by 0.6
263
#47
30.71.1
30.932.0
Auto11.1
Teleop14.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed25%Capture oddsEarned