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Qual 722016 Carver Division
Red112
592434.8
582227.5
174642.9
Blue96
19030.8
126236.9
14135.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041022040608012014016011296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#24
42.90.7
41.8→42.5
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End9.7
red by 6.0
1262
#12
36.90.2
33.8→33.6
Auto10.0
Teleop20.8
End6.1
Second
5924
#37
34.80.7
32.8→33.5
Auto10.1
Teleop18.8
End5.9
blue by 0.7
141
#54
35.50.2
35.3→35.1
Auto9.1
Teleop22.0
End4.3
Third
5822
#33
27.50.7
26.3→27.0
Auto7.9
Teleop16.0
End3.6
blue by 3.3
190
#65
30.80.2
30.1→29.9
Auto11.8
Teleop14.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsEarned20%Capture oddsMissed