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Qual 782016 Carver Division
Red110
237031.3
108641.1
598039.2
Blue105
335744.7
440520.5
264839.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11111390100120130110105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#49
41.10.0
40.5→40.5
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End4.5
blue by 3.7
3357
#9
44.70.2
47.0→46.8
Auto13.9
Teleop25.8
End5.0
Second
5980
#52
39.20.0
37.2→37.3
Auto8.3
Teleop21.4
End9.5
Level
2648
#31
39.20.2
37.9→37.7
Auto10.0
Teleop25.4
End3.8
Third
2370
#41
31.30.0
31.6→31.7
Auto8.2
Teleop19.4
End3.6
red by 10.7
4405
#60
20.50.2
23.6→23.4
Auto7.5
Teleop9.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
61%Capture oddsMissed56%Capture oddsMissed