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Red140
190225.5
84249.7
14135.5
Blue72
360029.8
304917.2
183635.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112865010015020014072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#5
49.71.7
45.146.8
Auto14.7
Teleop26.4
End8.6
red by 14.0
1836
#26
35.71.4
36.835.5
Auto8.9
Teleop19.8
End7.1
Second
141
#54
35.51.7
35.136.8
Auto9.1
Teleop22.0
End4.3
red by 5.7
3600
#57
29.81.4
35.333.9
Auto8.2
Teleop18.3
End3.3
Third
1902
#59
25.51.7
24.626.3
Auto9.1
Teleop11.2
End5.2
red by 8.3
3049
#73
17.21.4
15.213.8
Auto2.8
Teleop12.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed