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Red102
29528.1
57338.7
347839.0
Blue167
504840.1
276753.0
105845.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9314550200102167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#38
39.00.3
33.433.7
Auto8.3
Teleop21.8
End8.8
blue by 14.0
2767
#13
53.02.3
51.153.4
Auto14.2
Teleop30.9
End7.8
Second
573
#15
38.70.3
37.337.6
Auto9.7
Teleop24.7
End4.4
blue by 6.6
1058
#51
45.42.3
45.447.7
Auto8.8
Teleop26.0
End10.6
Third
295
#23
28.10.3
26.827.1
Auto10.5
Teleop14.1
End3.5
blue by 12.1
5048
#55
40.12.3
36.438.7
Auto9.2
Teleop21.5
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed75%Capture oddsEarned