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Red105
50342.0
460724.7
583021.7
Blue101
164830.4
345241.4
589121.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82105050150105101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#11
42.01.1
38.639.7
Auto10.2
Teleop21.3
End10.5
red by 0.6
3452
#43
41.40.5
41.941.3
Auto7.8
Teleop27.3
End6.3
Second
4607
#56
24.71.1
24.725.8
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End6.0
blue by 5.7
1648
#61
30.40.5
34.333.8
Auto8.3
Teleop19.9
End2.3
Third
5830
#68
21.71.1
19.620.8
Auto7.4
Teleop11.2
End3.1
blue by 0.2
5891
#36
21.80.5
22.722.2
Auto8.0
Teleop11.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed16%Capture oddsMissed