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Red110
445144.8
36049.5
533324.2
Blue108
35952.1
581625.6
7839.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119117100110130140150110108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#19
49.50.6
47.947.3
Auto14.6
Teleop29.1
End5.8
blue by 2.6
359
#42
52.11.1
52.251.0
Auto14.1
Teleop30.3
End7.8
Second
4451
#17
44.80.6
44.143.4
Auto11.5
Teleop26.5
End6.7
red by 5.1
78
#18
39.71.1
39.238.1
Auto15.1
Teleop19.1
End5.5
Third
5333
#67
24.20.6
22.521.8
Auto4.9
Teleop15.6
End3.6
blue by 1.5
5816
#66DQ
25.61.1
23.422.3
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed18%Capture oddsMissed