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Red140
546053.9
84249.7
19030.8
Blue114
504840.1
5732.2
592031.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1399550150200140114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.90.7
52.653.3
Auto9.4
Teleop36.1
End8.4
red by 13.8
5048
#55
40.10.0
38.738.7
Auto9.2
Teleop21.5
End9.5
Second
842
#5
49.70.7
46.847.5
Auto14.7
Teleop26.4
End8.6
red by 17.6
57
#10
32.20.0
29.129.1
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.1
Third
190
#65
30.80.7
29.730.4
Auto11.8
Teleop14.7
End4.2
blue by 0.6
5920
#63
31.30.0
31.431.4
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
60%Capture oddsEarned20%Capture oddsEarned