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Red99
284635.8
152932.6
345241.4
Blue112
172329.7
105845.4
172928.8
54%Model gave it46%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11210705015020099112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#43
41.40.6
41.340.8
Auto7.8
Teleop27.3
End6.3
blue by 4.0
1058
#51
45.40.5
47.748.2
Auto8.8
Teleop26.0
End10.6
Second
2846
#39
35.80.6
35.334.7
Auto10.4
Teleop20.1
End5.3
red by 6.1
1723
#25
29.70.5
28.328.9
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End6.8
Third
1529
#44
32.60.6
31.030.5
Auto7.4
Teleop19.3
End5.8
red by 3.8
1729
#69
28.80.5
28.228.7
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
29%Capture oddsMissed24%Capture oddsEarned