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Red55
166525.4
373524.3
453631.2
Blue180
23062.8
425331.3
35952.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7315705010020055180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#22
31.21.9
30.728.9
Auto10.2
Teleop13.5
End7.5
blue by 31.7
230
#3
62.82.0
60.362.3
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End3.6
Second
1665
#72
25.41.9
28.226.3
Auto4.5
Teleop16.9
End4.0
blue by 26.7
359
#42
52.12.0
51.053.0
Auto14.1
Teleop30.3
End7.8
Third
3735
#74
24.31.9
24.322.4
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End6.8
blue by 7.0
4253
#35
31.32.0
28.830.8
Auto10.0
Teleop15.0
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsMissed98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed42%Capture oddsEarned