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Red93
430117.9
356223.4
177539.2
Blue96
589121.8
353637.0
14135.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions701040501509396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1775
#58
39.21.4
38.139.5
Auto11.5
Teleop19.1
End8.6
red by 2.2
3536
#20
37.00.0
37.237.2
Auto11.9
Teleop20.8
End4.3
Second
3562
#71
23.41.4
19.921.2
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End4.6
blue by 12.0
141
#54
35.50.0
36.836.8
Auto9.1
Teleop22.0
End4.3
Third
4301
#75
17.91.4
14.615.9
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End2.1
blue by 4.0
5891
#36
21.80.0
22.222.2
Auto8.0
Teleop11.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned6%Capture oddsMissed