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Red121
582227.5
38430.6
13359.3
Blue66
335744.7
221226.0
547226.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123995015020012166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#1
59.30.4
60.260.5
Auto18.0
Teleop30.8
End10.5
red by 14.6
44.72.3
46.844.5
Auto13.9
Teleop25.8
End5.0
Second
384
#50
30.60.4
28.729.0
Auto7.2
Teleop18.9
End4.6
red by 4.3
5472
#28
26.32.3
25.723.4
Auto10.2
Teleop12.1
End4.0
Third
5822
#33
27.50.4
26.827.2
Auto7.9
Teleop16.0
End3.6
red by 1.5
2212
#64
26.02.3
27.325.0
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
47%Capture oddsEarned28%Capture oddsMissed