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Red80
502523.6
519928.9
248527.1
Blue40
588412.2
334117.7
348613.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66470204060801001208040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.4
19.519.9
Auto8.3
Teleop14.4
End6.2
red by 11.2
3341
#50
17.70.9
16.615.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Second
2485
#28
27.10.4
25.525.9
Auto7.4
Teleop17.1
End2.6
red by 13.7
3486
#49
13.40.9
16.015.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Third
5025
#13
23.60.4
16.216.6
Auto7.6
Teleop10.8
End5.1
red by 11.4
5884
#42
12.22.5
12.214.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned36%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed