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Red20
407813.5
374910.0
233921.1
Blue63
520926.0
312829.1
114825.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465401001502063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2339
#41
21.13.5
17.313.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.4
End5.1
blue by 8.0
29.11.3
20.121.4
Auto6.0
Teleop18.8
End4.3
Second
4078
#53
13.53.5
13.29.7
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End2.0
blue by 12.5
26.01.3
17.018.2
Auto5.9
Teleop15.8
End4.2
Third
3749
#54
10.03.5
15.712.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.2
End0.2
blue by 15.2
1148
#27
25.21.3
14.515.8
Auto8.1
Teleop13.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed