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Red44
458319.7
562717.4
197223.7
Blue62
364724.8
282715.8
249618.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545130406070804462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1972
#32
23.70.8
15.514.6
Auto3.8
Teleop14.6
End5.4
blue by 1.1
3647
#23
24.80.3
15.214.9
Auto9.1
Teleop10.8
End5.0
Second
4583
#29
19.70.8
15.414.5
Auto5.4
Teleop12.4
End1.8
red by 1.4
2496
#38
18.30.3
19.519.2
Auto7.9
Teleop6.2
End4.2
Third
5627
#47
17.40.8
20.819.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End3.6
red by 1.6
2827
#39
15.80.3
14.914.6
Auto6.7
Teleop6.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsMissed37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed