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Red30
248527.1
5855.9
491314.8
Blue60
157224.6
513725.2
332822.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58532040801003060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#28
27.14.0
25.921.9
Auto7.4
Teleop17.1
End2.6
red by 1.9
5137
#19
25.20.3
17.417.6
Auto5.8
Teleop14.0
End5.4
Second
4913
#44
14.84.0
15.311.3
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End0.9
blue by 9.8
1572
#48
24.60.3
19.319.5
Auto6.0
Teleop15.1
End3.5
Third
585
#59
5.94.0
14.810.8
Auto0.8
Teleop4.8
End0.4
blue by 16.3
3328
#15
22.30.3
15.916.2
Auto3.1
Teleop14.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed30%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed