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Red72
498422.8
244327.0
263735.0
Blue20
46169.5
413910.1
396523.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654902040801007220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.01.3
21.222.5
Auto7.4
Teleop20.1
End7.4
red by 11.5
3965
#22
23.53.4
20.717.3
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End3.1
Second
2443
#35
27.01.3
22.323.5
Auto5.6
Teleop17.8
End3.6
red by 16.9
4139
#56
10.13.4
15.011.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Third
22.81.3
17.218.4
Auto10.2
Teleop8.9
End3.7
red by 13.2
4616
#52
9.53.4
14.711.3
Auto0.8
Teleop7.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned28%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed