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Red70
416014.6
347327.0
39925.5
Blue72
364724.8
502523.6
138825.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61552040801007072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3473
#16
27.01.3
22.223.4
Auto7.2
Teleop14.9
End4.8
red by 1.6
1388
#33
25.31.4
21.623.0
Auto5.0
Teleop17.8
End2.6
Second
399
#12
25.51.3
22.824.1
Auto7.1
Teleop15.2
End3.2
red by 0.7
3647
#23
24.81.4
14.916.3
Auto9.1
Teleop10.8
End5.0
Third
4160
#58
14.61.3
13.514.8
Auto0.8
Teleop12.6
End1.1
blue by 9.0
5025
#13
23.61.4
17.919.3
Auto7.6
Teleop10.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed