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Red59
347327.0
413910.1
547421.3
Blue85
157224.6
562717.4
401423.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6454304050607080901005985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3473
#16
27.00.6
27.927.3
Auto7.2
Teleop14.9
End4.8
red by 2.4
1572
#48
24.63.0
18.721.7
Auto6.0
Teleop15.1
End3.5
Second
5474
#25
21.30.6
21.921.3
Auto8.4
Teleop9.2
End3.6
blue by 2.6
4014
#14
23.83.0
20.823.8
Auto6.3
Teleop13.1
End4.5
Third
4139
#56
10.10.6
10.710.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End0.7
blue by 7.3
5627
#47
17.43.0
14.517.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsMissed36%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed