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Red160
25463.7
167860.4
166230.6
Blue159
36841.4
97160.7
330324.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions200152100250300160159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
63.70.4
64.363.9
Auto14.4
Teleop41.4
End7.9
red by 3.1
971
#3
60.70.3
61.160.8
Auto20.2
Teleop33.8
End6.6
Second
60.40.4
61.060.6
Auto16.0
Teleop37.2
End7.3
red by 19.0
368
#4
41.40.3
41.841.5
Auto10.4
Teleop24.2
End6.7
Third
1662
#29
30.60.4
31.130.8
Auto8.1
Teleop15.2
End7.3
red by 5.8
3303
#21
24.80.3
25.224.9
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End4.2