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Red106
11431.4
128027.8
590524.6
Blue177
325630.0
570027.5
490430.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106103406080120140160180200106177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#16
31.40.1
31.431.4
Auto7.7
Teleop18.4
End5.2
red by 1.0
4904
#13
30.31.1
29.230.2
Auto11.0
Teleop14.8
End4.5
Second
27.80.1
27.927.8
Auto7.1
Teleop16.1
End4.6
blue by 2.2
3256
#37
30.01.1
28.929.9
Auto6.6
Teleop19.6
End3.8
Third
5905
#57
24.60.1
24.724.6
Auto8.6
Teleop11.9
End4.1
blue by 2.9
27.51.5
25.827.3
Auto8.8
Teleop14.8
End3.9