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Red60
417120.1
84630.3
499016.4
Blue117
36841.4
247319.9
415918.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65750204010012014016060117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#45
30.30.3
32.131.8
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End3.8
blue by 11.0
368
#4
41.42.4
37.139.5
Auto10.4
Teleop24.2
End6.7
Second
4171
#41
20.10.3
17.116.8
Auto8.6
Teleop7.6
End3.8
red by 0.2
2473
#39
19.94.0
17.321.3
Auto1.7
Teleop12.4
End5.8
Third
4990
#46
16.40.4
15.615.3
Auto3.1
Teleop9.8
End3.5
blue by 1.5
4159
#59
18.02.9
16.919.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsMissed61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned