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Red61
196721.8
213523.2
325630.0
Blue68
567725.8
66821.9
85224.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637002040801001201406168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#37
30.00.5
26.325.9
Auto6.6
Teleop19.6
End3.8
red by 4.3
5677
#22
25.80.1
24.524.5
Auto7.6
Teleop14.7
End3.4
Second
2135
#56
23.20.5
19.619.2
Auto8.2
Teleop11.6
End3.5
blue by 0.9
852
#10
24.10.1
20.520.6
Auto6.0
Teleop14.9
End3.2
Third
1967
#31
21.80.5
16.516.0
Auto7.6
Teleop10.6
End3.6
blue by 0.1
668
#61
21.90.1
22.022.1
Auto6.7
Teleop11.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsMissed83%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed