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Red76
11431.4
570027.5
510422.0
Blue122
592432.1
76615.9
36841.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63870204010012014016076122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#16
31.40.9
25.025.9
Auto7.7
Teleop18.4
End5.2
blue by 10.0
368
#4
41.42.7
39.542.2
Auto10.4
Teleop24.2
End6.7
Second
27.51.2
21.322.5
Auto8.8
Teleop14.8
End3.9
blue by 4.7
32.13.0
29.732.7
Auto9.0
Teleop18.2
End5.0
Third
5104
#42
22.00.7
18.719.5
Auto6.0
Teleop12.5
End3.5
red by 6.1
766
#35
15.93.0
11.914.9
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned