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Red125
97218.7
167860.4
128027.8
Blue83
11520.3
60424.2
567725.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100675015012583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.42.2
57.059.2
Auto16.0
Teleop37.2
End7.3
red by 34.7
5677
#22
25.80.9
24.525.4
Auto7.6
Teleop14.7
End3.4
Second
27.82.4
21.223.6
Auto7.1
Teleop16.1
End4.6
red by 3.6
604
#49
24.21.0
26.127.1
Auto9.7
Teleop10.1
End4.5
Third
972
#25
18.72.2
13.916.1
Auto7.8
Teleop10.5
End0.4
blue by 1.6
115
#36
20.30.9
19.220.1
Auto6.8
Teleop11.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed