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Red45
573719.1
464312.8
19918.6
Blue64
476519.1
58116.9
213523.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595302040801001204564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5737
#64
19.11.3
21.520.2
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End1.6
blue by 4.1
2135
#56
23.20.8
19.219.9
Auto8.2
Teleop11.6
End3.5
Second
199
#50
18.61.3
21.520.2
Auto6.9
Teleop7.8
End3.8
blue by 0.5
4765
#52
19.11.3
18.319.6
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End1.1
Third
4643
#58
12.80.9
13.812.9
Auto2.8
Teleop6.5
End3.5
blue by 4.1
581
#54
16.90.9
14.815.7
Auto3.8
Teleop10.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed