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Red93
594025.1
85224.1
186827.5
Blue67
166230.6
605924.4
281316.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6769556065758085909367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#20
27.51.8
27.529.3
Auto8.4
Teleop15.3
End3.8
blue by 3.1
1662
#29
30.60.0
29.929.9
Auto8.1
Teleop15.2
End7.3
Second
5940
#15
25.13.0
17.620.6
Auto7.3
Teleop14.4
End3.4
red by 0.7
6059
#48
24.40.0
23.123.1
Auto10.3
Teleop11.7
End2.3
Third
852
#10
24.12.0
20.622.6
Auto6.0
Teleop14.9
End3.2
red by 7.7
2813
#43
16.40.0
13.513.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed