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Red67
590524.6
196721.8
11431.4
Blue97
476519.1
64929.5
594025.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6871204060801001206797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#16
31.40.0
28.128.1
Auto7.7
Teleop18.4
End5.2
red by 1.9
649
#12
29.51.6
27.629.2
Auto8.4
Teleop16.5
End4.5
Second
5905
#57
24.60.0
19.419.5
Auto8.6
Teleop11.9
End4.1
blue by 0.5
5940
#15
25.12.6
21.123.7
Auto7.3
Teleop14.4
End3.4
Third
1967
#31
21.80.0
19.119.1
Auto7.6
Teleop10.6
End3.6
red by 2.8
4765
#52
19.12.6
19.622.2
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned